This move is directed only on one person – US President Donald Trump, writes CNN in the analysis of negotiations between Ukraine and Russia, who should be held in Istanbul.
Kiev must show that he is willing to make every step towards peace, as symbolic, so as not risking that Trump starts listening to the Pro. voices around him, lose interest in the whole process or limit the help of Ukraine.
But as it says CNN, and transmits the index, the peace process actually takes place exactly as Russia wants – slow, according to the schedule that dictates the Kremlin.
In the week, since France, the UK, Germany and Poland stale with Ukraine and requested an unconditional 30-day truce, became clear what Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump really think about negotiations.
The key cognition, according to CNN, is that the Kremlin is not afraid of new sanctions, nor the European pressure, nor does he feel the need to react to Trump’s proposals. For now, Putin estimates that potential internal political risks are common photography with trump and green far greater than possible damage due to Trump dissatisfaction.
Refusal to join the West Initiative is a budgeted risk that seems, but paid off. Trump’s answer, ie the statement that “nothing will happen until he and Putin meets,” he threw all the diplomatic plans into the wind until that bilateral encounter happens. Putin thus receives freedom of action, aware that the US president actually believes that without the meeting of two leaders there is no progress.
It is not impossible for Putin and Trump meeting soon, and even that negotiations in Istanbul turn into the announcement of such a summit during the weekend. But Putin obviously enjoys watching the peace process takes place with a snail step, with a dark so fake seriousness that the White House cannot completely give up. Why rush?
Meanwhile, Russian forces are piling up along the eastern front, obviously as part of the wider strategic plan of Moscow. The decision to ignore Trump’s calls reveals two key things: Putin is ready to handle additional “strong sanctions” that threatened France, and discard the summit in Istanbul. Obviously, he estimated exactly that Trump’s dissatisfaction would be limited.
Putin said CNN, he was willing to risk multi-day speculations about his arrival, knowing that he would avoid pressures and strengthen the impression that everything depends on him. Ultimately, it is neither known whether he ever really considered the offer of Zelenia for a direct meeting. Maybe he negotiated all the time on the conditions of his own encounter with Trump, maybe not.
The green is now found in an unenviable position. He has to remain close to negotiations, in the event that progress happens suddenly, but at the same time he must not look like he is waiting for Putin’s next move. On Friday, as he claims, waiting for the earlier planned summit in Albania, but immediately afterwards he must return to negotiations.
At the same time, it becomes more clearly that Trump may not introduce additional sanctions to Russia, despite expectations from Europe and the White House itself. Restricted, the technical composition of the Russian delegation in Istanbul Trump provides a dark excuse to keep hope for progress and postponing any sweating towards Moscow.
Conversations will, concludes CNN, likely to continue tenturating forward, with the maximum requirements of the Kremlin and a permanent Ukrainian appeal that Russia persistently refuses. And exactly such the pace and structure of the process correspond to the Kremlin, because they give him power, space and time.
Even with the participation of Trump’s senior officials in negotiations, it is very likely that minimal progress will be achieved and will discuss for further talks. And that’s exactly what Kremlin wants.
(Vijesti.ba)
