The pre-election campaign was short, but fierce. One expression heard often: a change in the course. “You tried to spend the left-wing politics in Germany. That will not be able to continue,” said two weeks in the eve of the Friedrich Merz election, which is a common candidate for the Chancellor of the Christian-Democratic Union (CDU) and Bavarian Christian-Social Union (CSU) , which in the federal level form the Union of CDU / CSU.
Thus, in the Bundestag, he addressed Social Democrats (SPDs) and green who were in power with liberals (FDP) from 2021. until November last year. The coalition fell apart after a multi-month quarrel around the redistribution of budget funds. For this Sunday, 23. Febraura, the extraordinary parliamentary elections were issued.
Social Democrats threatens a heavy defeat
Greens in public opinion polls enjoy almost the same support as 2021, but social democrats and liberals have been lost significantly for support. Liberals could remain under the electoral threshold of five percent, and the SPD threatens a heavy defeat. All under 20 percent would be the worst result in post-war Germany, and the party is far below that value in trials.
Olaf Scholz would be a chancellor with the shortest mandate in the last 50 years and the only Social Democratic Chancellor who has not been re-elected.
Democrats at the forefront, AFD behind them
According to the same trials, the largest prospects of the Chancellor has Friedrich Merz, the head of CDU, the party that was up to 2021. ruled for 16 years, in the last three years, the strongest opposition party.
In second place according to the test results, there is an alternative to Germany (AFD) with more than 20 percent support. She doubled the result compared to 2021.
A dramatic decline in the popularity of the Social Democrat and the rise of alternative to Germany – how did it happen? Merz indicates the weakening of the economy: “The economy of our country, the Federal Republic of Germany, in the meantime is at the beginning of the European Union.” He stated that 50,000 companies reported insolvency, and about one hundred billion euros poured out of Germany annually.
“Our economy has been declining for the third year, the consequence is the recession. It has never happened in the postwar history of Germany.”
Merz added that Scholz and his Minister of Economy and the Green Candidate for Leekeeper Robert Habeck “no longer discord reality.” Merz compared the two politicians with the directors of companies who led their company to the beggary stick and then told the owners to be happy to do the same for another four years.
War, Energy Crisis, Inflation
While Merz is increasingly sharper in the election campaign, Chancellor Scholz is increasingly in defense. However, he performed more energetically and more infrequently than during his mandate, but often came to a situation in which he must justify his policy.
He stated that he was not his government guilty for the energy crisis and inflation, but the attack of Russia in Ukraine. “Until today, the economy is struggling against the consequences,” Scholz said. He warned that neither next year would be simple, especially when the first moves of the American President Trump is taken into account:
“The wind blows us in the face. It is true that this will not change significantly.”
Migration as an important topic
The weakness of the German economy was perhaps the most important topic in the pre-election campaign, but was awarded by a knife that in Aschaffenburg committed a rejected applicant for Asylum from Afghanistan, migration erupted into the first plan.
And Friedrich Merz announced immediately after the attack that he would still request a request to take a request to take advantage of the award policy in the Bundestag – if he should, and with the support of Members of the Alternative to Germany. MPs and the Parties celebrated in the Bundestag when Merzo’s request is voted with their support. The AFD politicians saw the epochal reversal in the movement of democracy and stated that they are ready to coalition.
Without cooperation with extreme right-handed
Hundreds of thousands of citizens were released throughout Germany, opposing the cooperation between Democrats and alternatives for Germany.
Chancellor Scholz did not hide indignation: “It doesn’t matter whether there is cooperation with the extreme right. Not in Germany!” He added that citizens cannot trust Democrats that he would not enter the coalition with an alternative to Germany.
In weeks, Friedrich Merz did not miss a single opportunity to emphasize how to exclude any cooperation with the alternative to Germany. According to him, the goal of extreme rightaries is to destroy the CDU and CSU, and by the AFD democrats will not in any case enter the coalition.
Who could form a coalition?
Democrats, however, will not be able to form a government alone. Another at least one coalition partner is required. The more parties in the Bundestag, the harder the formation of the coalition.
According to the examinations, the left will enter the Bundestag, the Sahra Wagenknecht and Liberals are on the border.
If liberals enter the Bundestag, then the coalition may need three parties. Given that the party base of Liberals excluded the coalition with green, then the democrats remain only the possibility of coalition with social democrats and liberals. If fewer parties do not enter the Bundestag, the coalition of democracy and social democrats or democrats and green is possible.
Afd in isolation
The AFD candidate for Chancellor Alice Weidel says that such a coalition would only continue the policy so far. She added that she would not stop her party, that the political “turn” will come and that only “unnecessarily delayed”.
After the scandal about the joint vote of democracy and alternative to Germany in Bundestag, the relationship between the Social Democrats and the green with conservative forces is not very best. Finally, the coalition will depend on how much of its program goals, each of the parties will be able to impose.
Climate policy is barely mentioned
Social Democrats emphasize social policy, green climate protection.
The candidate of Green Robert Habeck warns: “If Germany 23. February chooses the government that announces that he will not meet climate targets, then they will not meet Europe.”
He added that neither one minister for environmental protection or chancellor be going to India, Indonesia or China, to request that the emissions of carbon dioxide would reduce the use of renewable energy sources.
Friedrich Merz knows that coalicity negotiations will not be easy. But he warns that now “one of the last chances” to suppress the impact of an alternative to Germany.
“If that doesn’t go for us, then we won’t have 20 percent of the right-wing populists. Then the right-handed populists will one day have a number of mandates that prevents the change in the Constitution, and then maybe close to the majority,” Merz said.
As a possible future chancellor, he believes that other democratic parties, social democrats, green and liberals, are required to prevent this: “You cannot escape that responsibility, and we will not run away from it.”
(Vijesti.ba)
