The European Bank for Reconstruction and Rzava (EBRD) reduced the projection of GDP of Bosnia for 2025. At 2.2 percent. At the same time, the Bank is to keep the forecast of GDP of Bosnia in 2026. at 2.7 percent, reports Indicator.ba.
Economic growth in the first quarter of 2025 has slowed to 1.7 percent compared to the previous year, stimulated by salaries and remittances. Economic growth was limited by reduced external demand and domestic political instability. The current account deficit continued to grow during the same period, after almost doubling in 2024. Inflation in July 2025. Reached 4.8 percent compared to the previous year, encouraged by increasing real salaries and expansive fiscal policy.
It is predicted that the growth of real GDP will be 2.2 percent in 2025, and the increase will be 2.7 percent in 2026. Significant risks stem from reducing industrial production, increased European economy, volatility in the merchandise and continuation of political tensions.
Economic growth in the Western Balkans is expected to remain modest in the next two years.
The projections show that the region will grow by 2.7 percent in 2025, and will increase to 3.2 percent in 2026, as permanent global uncertainty and poor demand EU export, trade, investment and remittances. Tourism-dependent economy such as Albania and Montenegro are especially affected by the uncertainty in the EU markets, while the countries aimed at exports such as Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina and North Macedonia are facing slower trade growth.
