It is predicted that more than half of all adult and thirds of children, teenagers and young people around the world have excessive body weight or be threatened by 2050. years.
Predictions come in a new study of global data published in the magazine The Lancetwhich covers more than 200 countries.
Researchers warn that the level of obesity will be accelerated during the rest of this decade, especially in lower revenue countries.
However, experts say that if governments are now taking urgent measures, there is still time to prevent what they describe as “complete tragedy”.
By 2021. Almost half of the adult world population – a billion men and 1.11 billion women aged 25 or more – she had excessive body weight or any obese.
The share of men and women living with these terms doubled since 1990.
If the trends of teaching, the global rates of excessive body weight and obese adults would increase to about 57.4% for men and 60.3% for women by 2050. years.
In terms of raw numbers, China (627 million), India (450 million) and the United States (214 million) will be countries with the largest number of people with excessive body weight or obese people in 2050. Years.
However, the growth of the population means that forecasters predict that the number in Subsaharac Africa will increase by more than 250% to 522 million.
Nigeria is especially emphasized, with the intended number that will be more than tripled – from 36.6 million in 2021. to 141 million in 2050. It would make it a country with the fourth largest adult population with overweight or obesity.
The authors admit that the study does not take into account the impact that new weight loss medications could have – and could play a significant role in the future.
Experts say that if governments immediately take urgent measures, there is still time to prevent what could be a disaster for vulnerable health systems.
The research was led by prof. Emmanuela Gakidou from the Institute for Measuring and Estimation of Health (IHME) at the Washington University in the United States.
“[Vlade] They can use specific assessments for our country-schedule, and the speed of current and intended weight transitions to identify the priority populations that require urgent intervention and treatment, and those that remain predominantly threatened and to primarily target prevention strategies. The global epidemic of overweight and obesity unprecedented is a deep tragedy and monumental social failure, “she said.
It just happens to jump in the rates of obesity, especially among young people.
Rate of obesity in children and younger teenagers (with 8.8% to 18.1%) and younger adults (those under 25 – from 9.9% to 20.3%) more than doubled between 1990. And 2021. years.
However, until 2050. One of the three young people will be affected.
Report Sovers, dr. Jessica Kerr from the Children’s Research Institute Murdoch in Australia, says figures are a real challenge for health systems in the coming years, writes N1 BiH.
“But if we operate now, it is still possible to prevent the complete transition to the global obesity of children and adolescents,” she said and added:
“Our estimates identify children and adolescents in most of Europe and southern Asia living with excessive weight and which should be targeted for the prevention of obesity. We also identified large populations, especially adolescents, in North America, Australia, Oceania, North Africa and in the Middle East and in Latin America, which is expected to overcome the obesity and demand emergency, multiple intervention and treatment. This is crucial to avoid intergenerational transmission of obesity and prevent the wave of serious health problems and large financial and social costs for future generations. “
